With its rushing rivers , sprawl canon , and succulent forests , Yellowstone National Park is an absolute hoarded wealth , but buried deep beneath its picturesque surface lies a hell that ’s just hold off to be unleashed . Using computer models , investigator have simulated the consideration beneath North America ’s largest supervolcano — unwrap a geographical zone that may curb the movement of magma flowing out from the Earth ’s mantle .

A huge reservoir of magma lurks beneath Yellowstone National Park , but it ’s been 630,000 year since this hidden supervolcano experienced a supereruption , and 70,000 years since its last major lava spill . Scientists are n’t sure if and when the next bam will occur , but should it happen , lava would pour out from the Yellowstone calderaand cover an area extending for 30 to 40 miles .

Newresearchpublished this week in Geophysical Research Letters advance our agreement of the magma bodies located below Yellowstone National Park , and how this extensive lava - occupy bathymetry system actually works . Using computer mannequin , a team guide by University of Oregon geologist Dylan P. Colón uncover a previously undetected crustal transition zone that could assure us how the magma located deeply beneath the surface creeps up and spills onto the airfoil . The young inquiry does n’t tell us when the next eruption might happen , but it ’s in spades a step in that direction .

Argentina’s President Javier Milei (left) and Robert F. Kennedy Jr., holding a chainsaw in a photo posted to Kennedy’s X account on May 27. 2025.

At Yellowstone , a lean stratum of crust is all that separates us from the boiling evil below . once in a while , this crust is warmed and softened by the magma , allowing the lava to flow up from a giant fissure called a mantle plume . In 2014 , investigator used seismal wave to detecta with child magma body in the upper crust , but because copious amounts of carbon paper dioxide and helium were leak from the land , scientists figured more magma was located further down . This supposition was proven right in 2015 when researchers , also using seismic wave , found a enceinte body of magmaat depths hit 12 to 27 miles ( 20 to 45 kilometer ) .

As important as these findings were , they did n’t tell geologist very much about the make-up , state , and amount of magma that was packed within these pockets , or how they formed . To fulfil this spread in our understanding , Colón devised computer simulations based on this data to see the processes going on beneath Yellowstone . Specifically , the researchers sought to determine where the magma was most likely to amass within the crust .

allot to the model — and it ’s important to commend that it ’s just a model — fight geologic personnel are pressing against each other at depths of three to six stat mi ( five to 10 km ) . This is create a transition geographical zone where cold , stable rocks are give way to the hot , partly molten rock below . This changeover geographical zone , dubbed a “ mid - crustal sill ” is pin down the rising magma , causing it to collect and solidify in a big horizontal area . Models intimate this sill is about nine miles ( 15 klick ) chummy . Happily , the pretense meshes well with the seismal data collected in 2014 and 2015 , which suggests the models are reasonable idea of the real world .

William Duplessie

The finding also show that the sill is in the first place be of rock that formed from cooled magma , and that the magma body exist both above and below it . The one above contains gas - rich rhyolitic magma , which once in a while erupt to the surface .

Scientists still do n’t bang when Yellowstone will take fire again , but we now have a better explanation for the magmatic system creditworthy for these eruptions . Specifically , we now know where the eruptible magma comes from and where it collects . Similar processes may be happening elsewhere , and the challenge now is see how these systems might equate . We ca n’t predict eructation , but approach such as these means we may finally get there .

[ Geophysical Research Letters ]

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