Modern technology would n’t put to work without shadow amounts of bizarrely - key out metals that occupy obscure positions on the periodic mesa . They ’re scream uncommon earths , but there ’s a nigh - unbounded supplying on the ocean story — if only we could access it . This week , Japanese scientistsarereignitinghopesthat we ’ll be able to soon , but major hurdle race rest .

In 2013 , thick ocean muds containing rare terra firma elementswere discoveredoff Japan ’s Minamitorishima Island . family were excited both by the high assiduity of uncommon earth , and because they ’re sitting in mud we can readily scoop up once we ’re down there , rather than hard crusts we ’d need to pillory apart . Now , a team of researchers has followed up on the find with extra deep sea scouting trips , plus Gb mapping to infer the full uncommon ground potential of the region .

And that electric potential certain is something . Writing Wednesday in Nature Scientific Reports , the researchersestimatethe most promising area contains some 1.2 million tons of rare earths . The full rare earth contentedness of the discipline orbit ? Some 16 million tons , translate to a 730 twelvemonth supply of Dy ( used in magnets in steer turbines and electric vehicles ) , a 420 year supply of terbium ( used in optical maser and semiconductors ) and a about 800 class supply of yytrium ( radar systems ) .

Argentina’s President Javier Milei (left) and Robert F. Kennedy Jr., holding a chainsaw in a photo posted to Kennedy’s X account on May 27. 2025.

As the source note , this gives the deposit “ the potential to supply these metal on a semi - infinite ground to the world . ”

Folks in the medium ( and some investor ) beget very activated over the intelligence . The Wall Street JournalsuggestedJapan could use the find to break China’sstrangleholdon the rare land market and preventfuture market shocks . Fortune call it a “ monumental discovery . ” The South China Morning Postsuggestedthe see “ potentially free Japanese firms from costly extraneous mineral importation . ”

There ’s just one teeny , tiny problem ( the same one that always arises when people see exciting new metal deposits on the ocean floor ) . Deep sea excavation technology does n’t exist , and it probably wo n’t for decades .

William Duplessie

AsJohn Wiltshire , a prospecting geologist and director of Hawaii ’s Undersea Research Lab note to Earther , if you seem at the top 20 largest mining company globally , none of their websites cite any sea excavation project . “ That ’s drive ta secernate you something , ” he said .

While recognise that the researchers have found “ a very good repository , ” Wiltshire says anyone concerned in commercially extract this clobber is go to need to invest billion evolve the tech for scraping , blasting , and cutting the seafloor , hauling the valuable moment thou of feet up to the Earth’s surface , and palliate any environmental impacts ( which could be huge ) .

“ It ’s just a feat outside the kingdom of what mining companies are willing to do today,”David Abraham , a older fellow New America and uncommon metals expert , tell apart Earther . “ It ’s just like if we find thing on comets and asteroid . ”

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Meanwhile , Wiltshire said , China is moving to solidify its future monopoly on the rare earth food market . State - endorse companies are working to secure minelaying rights and lend young deposit online in Africa and South America that are “ guaranteed to overlook the monetary value and produce at a departure long enough to scavenge out any eminent cost ocean rival . ”

It ’s go to need all those metal if it wants tokeep dominating the clean energy industry , after all .

Minerals

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