If Lyft and Uber had assort their drivers as employees rather than self-governing contractile organ as the companies presently do ( and would very much like to continue doing ) , what would they have hypothetically owed to California in unemployment insurance policy tax ? According to an estimation from the UC Berkeley Labor Center , the two companionship would have had to pay hundreds of millions of one dollar bill to the state ’s Unemployment Insurance Fund over a five - year period had their doer been employees .

Thedata brief , issue last hebdomad , cited uncommitted datasets — includingcompany - bring home the bacon dataobtained by the California Air Resources Board , analysisfrom JP Morgan Chase , andavailable datafrom Uber ’s Chief Economist Jonathan Hall and former Department of Labor Chief Economist Alan Krueger on driver ’ hebdomadal work hour — to draw up estimates for the bit of actor at each company , as well as how many of these workers at Lyft and Uber made more than the $ 7,000 taxable wage limit in California .

Uber and Lyft Sued by California Attorney General Over Alleged Driver Misclassification

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The squad estimated that prole ’ aggregate taxable base net profit were roughly $ 3.38 billion in 2018 and that the company would have owed $ 114.8 million in unemployment policy tax . Because no data about the two companies ’ growing in California between 2014 and 2018 was available to the team , they instead simulated Uber and Lyft ’s growth in the Golden State using data point from King County , Washington , to identify an estimation for what Lyft and Uber would have owe in unemployment policy tax for the period between 2014 to 2019 .

allot to these estimates , Uber and Lyft would have been want to pay a astonishing $ 413 million to the state ’s Unemployment Insurance Fund during this time had it sort its contractors as employees .

Uber did not immediately return a request for input about the paper . In a command sent to Gizmodo by email , a Lyft voice disputed the report and its frame , claiming it “ ignores canonical economics in an effort to achieve a predetermined conclusion that dish a political agenda ” and that its findings are “ wildly off . ”

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“ For starters , in this hypothetical realness , everyone who has chosen to aim for Lyft would have been charter by Lyft as an employee , ” the spokesperson say . “ As we ’ve repeatedly sound out , that would n’t happen in the real world — alternatively , many , many Californians would miss the opportunity to earn by drive with Lyft . ”

The argument the fellowship is making here is that driving for Lyft is a means of supplementary income , not chief income . But aMarch surveyof nearly 200 Uber and Lyft driver found that is not needs the slip , and that many were alone reliant on their speedily declining gig earnings and had no other germ of income .

Moreover , when asked directly for its own internal estimate of how much money Lyft would owe in unemployment indemnity revenue enhancement if it classify its drivers as employee , the society did not straight off provide an answer .

Argentina’s President Javier Milei (left) and Robert F. Kennedy Jr., holding a chainsaw in a photo posted to Kennedy’s X account on May 27. 2025.

Lyft also split hairs over calculation pull from the California Air Resources Board data point , arguing that it cites vehicles and not prole . People can have multiple vehicles , Lyft indicate , so the Berkeley squad purportedly overestimate the number of driver “ significantly . ” More broadly , Lyft argued that the Berkeley data is predetermine because the Labor Center lick with unions ( as well as with politics and employer ) to develop insurance and behave enquiry — an right-down crime by Lyft ’s monetary standard if its vituperative response to the data legal brief is any indication .

Lyft cited November data from theRideshare Guythat found 66 pct of the roughly 1,000 drivers it polled said they wanted to remain independent contractors . But that does n’t align with the message from Uber and Lyft drivers themselves this calendar week , in a immensely different environment created by a world-wide wellness crisis . On Monday , around 100 Lyft and Uber workers stag a caravan protest at Uber ’s home base in San Francisco to ask that the companies give them the introductory rights that come with employee categorization .

“ Uber , Lyft , and other gig companies are continuing in the same path of abusing and completely exact vantage of workers while putting them at jeopardy , ” Gig Workers climb up organiser Edan Alva toldTechCrunchthis calendar week . “ The matter is , it ’s never been percipient than during these sentence how welfare , sick Clarence Day and unemployment welfare are absolutely critical for workers , peculiarly for workers who are consider essential and are the most vulnerable in society overall . What they earn directly goes to confirm themselves and their families . ”

William Duplessie

Weird , Lyft must ’ve missed that one .

LyftUber

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